SR&ED Claim Information for Chen Li
Source: Notion | Last edited: 2023-11-25 | ID: 9fb0e299-b07...
Name: Chen Li
Position: Founder and CEO
Duration of Employment for Fiscal Year: full-year of 2023
SR&ED-able Time: 70%
Project Title: Improving Predictive Model Performance and Developing Training Data for EonPredictor
Section titled “Project Title: Improving Predictive Model Performance and Developing Training Data for EonPredictor”- Project Description:
- Brief Description: This project involved developing new model structures and methodologies to enhance the performance of financial predictive models and creating sophisticated training data for the second-layer model, EonPredictor.
- Technological Advancements and Challenges:
- Innovative Technologies/Methods: Developed a momentum-based transformer model, integrating dynamic and static features like price, volume, volatility, day of week, month of year, and symbol category. Implemented risk-adjusted returns in loss functions, shifting from traditional absolute return metrics.
- Technological Challenges/Uncertainties: Faced challenges in enhancing the contextual understanding and performance of predictive models under varying market conditions. Addressed uncertainties in optimizing exposure control during major market drawdowns.
- Experimental Development and Analysis:
- Experimental Processes/Methods: Experimented with new model structures for predictive accuracy. Utilized a ‘rolling backfill’ method for generating training data, sequentially training models with historical data and generating PNL data for subsequent years.
- Analysis and Findings: The new methodologies led to improved model performance in terms of contextual understanding and risk-adjusted returns, and the ‘rolling backfill’ method provided a more realistic and incremental approach to training data development.
- Results and Impact:
- Results Achieved: Enhanced predictive model performance and more accurate training data for the EonPredictor.
- Impact on Field/Industry: Contributed to the advancement of machine learning in financial modeling, particularly in the area of risk management and realistic market condition simulation.
- Documentation and Supporting Evidence:
- Types of Documentation: Project reports, model code repositories, experimental data, and historical performance records.
- Time Allocation:
- Estimated Time on SR&ED Activities: 100%
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